Author Archives: Chris Broussard

About Chris Broussard

I'm the Co-Founder and President of Tematica Research and editor of Thematic Signals, which aims to uncover confirming data points and items to watch for our list of investing themes. Whether its a news item, video clip, or company commentary, we've included this full list of items literally "ripped from the headlines." I have been involved in financial services marketing and publishing for over 20 years – having held senior level positions with financial publishers, financial services corporations and providing marketing support and consulting services to financial institutions and independent financial advisors. My background in digital marketing, financial services and consumer research provides me with a unique perspective on how to uncover the underlying proof points that are driving the themes our Chief Investment Officer Chris Versace utilizes in our various Tematica publications.
Netflix’s ‘Stranger Things’ kicking up NetFlix ( $NFLX) as a Content is King player

Netflix’s ‘Stranger Things’ kicking up NetFlix ( $NFLX) as a Content is King player

The thesis this article raises about the connection between the appeal in Donald Trump with some Americans, our desire to return to a time when things were simpler and happier (the Reagan Years) and the success of the new series “Stranger Things” from Netflix is certainly an interesting, if not entertaining read. But what caught out attention were the stats on viewership of the series in just a little over two weeks time (see below), it’s why players such as Netflix (NFLX) and Amazon (AMZN) are winning across multiple themes we track.

“Stranger Things,” its latest original series, has far outpaced other Netflix originals in viewership. In the first 16 days, 8.2 million people watched the science fiction drama, putting it far ahead of hits like “House of Cards,” “Daredevil,” and “Jessica Jones.”

Source: Magic of Netflix’s ‘Stranger Things’ can explain rise of Donald Trump – Business Insider

$CMSCA makes Harry Potter the champion of Content is King thematic

$CMSCA makes Harry Potter the champion of Content is King thematic

Beginning all the way back in 1994 with its original investment in The Golf Channel, followed by taking a controlling stake in QVC the following year (which it eventually sold to Liberty Media for a cool $7.4 billion profit), Comcast (CSMCSA) has a history of using its muscle and foresight to secure the fuel that keeps consumers watching — content.

What’s made Comcast one of the darlings of our Content is King investing thematic is that long ago it recognized the power of content to keep customers continuing to fork over the money to pay their ever-increasing monthly cable bills. Of course things kicked into high gear in with its deal with General Electric to create what became NBCUniversal and the TV, movies and music that came with it, as well as Universal Studios theme parks.

Keeping with that pattern, the announcement that Comcast-owned Warner Brothers studios has acquired the commercial TV rights to the Harry Potter franchise — past and future releases — adds a powerful new wand to its lineup. How and where people will be watching the Wizarding world in the emerging chord-cutting world remains to be seen. At the end of the day however, Content is King, and we know that people will always seek out, and even pay for, what keeps them engaged and entertained. No franchise other than Star Wars has proven that more than J.K. Rowling’s Harry Potter.

In a wide-ranging seven-year deal with Time Warner Inc.’s Warner Bros. that takes effect in 2018, the Comcast Corp.-owned media company will obtain commercial television rights to the eight “Harry Potter” movies, which will air mainly on the USA and Syfy channels.NBCUniversal also will get rights to the coming “Fantastic Beasts” franchise from “Harry Potter” author J.K. Rowling, and will be able to use the “Harry Potter” and “Fantastic Beasts” source material at several of its Universal theme parks in conjunction with its hugely popular “Wizarding World of Harry Potter” attraction.

Source: NBCUniversal Places Big Bet on ‘Harry Potter,’ ‘Fantastic Beasts’ – WSJ

Amazon Prime taking over the skies $AMZN @AMZN #thematicinvesting

Amazon Prime taking over the skies $AMZN @AMZN #thematicinvesting

 

Amazon sits right in the cross-hairs of several of our themes: Connected Society (online shopping), Cashstrapped Consumer (cheap online shopping + Prime free shipping) and even Content is King with the Amazon original series. Nothing represents the impact Amazon Prime is having than this story detailing the expansion of the online giants’ fleet of planes used to deliver products throughout the country.

 

While Amazon’s drone program remains in testing, the e-commerce giant is turning to cargo planes to keep up with package delivery demands.At Seattle’s Seafair’s Air Show on Friday, Amazon will display what could be the first of many Amazon-branded cargo planes dedicated to the firm’s Prime delivery service. The plane, dubbed Amazon One, is a Boeing 767-300 operated by Atlas Air, the airline which provides air cargo services to Amazon.

Source: Amazon launches Prime Air cargo plane fleet | ZDNet

Marvel and DC could be duking it for the next few millennia 

Marvel and DC could be duking it for the next few millennia 

The next super-hero release is typically a must-see event for the staff here at Tematica, and it’s been that way probably since Richard Donner’s Superman hit the screen in 1978. Sure, there were dark periods — most of the 90’s to be specific — and there have been times where they all start to become formulaic. For the most part however, Directors have been able to reimagine these franchises when they get stale, and this is a proof-point for our Content is King thematic — no matter where the delivery channels and devices head, at the end of the day, the consumer craves great content and the superhero genre has been a consistent provider. Great news for Marvel owner Disney ([stock_quote symbol=”DIS”]) and the host of other studios that own the rights to various franchises, including Time Warner ([stock_quote symbol=”TWX”]) owned Warner Brothers and its rights to several DC Comics franchises.

Between Marvel and DC there are some 17,000 characters to choose from—enough for them to keep battling it out for box office dominance for the next 3,400 years.

Source: There Are Enough Superheroes for 3,400 Years of Movies | WIRED

What the new NFL, FootLocker ($FL), and Hershey ($HSY) stores in Times SQ are revealing to #thematicinvestors

What the new NFL, FootLocker ($FL), and Hershey ($HSY) stores in Times SQ are revealing to #thematicinvestors

“Everyone’s trying to find a way to maintain market share and also extend themselves in a different way that’s maybe not traditional to retail,” said David LaPierre, a vice chairman with the Global Retail Services Team at CBRE.

Source: What the changing tenant list in Times Square says about retail

 

A 40,000 square foot NFL store? Foot Locker opening a 36,000 store just for basketball shoes and apparel? a 6,000 square foot Hershey store? In the

Nope, just reacting to the evolving consumer.

Make no mistake about it, these stores will likely make any number-crunching CFO pull what ever remaining hairs they have left out ( we have no data to support that stereotype, but we suspect there are few CFO’s out there that wouldn’t want a better hairline.)

These stores aren’t likely to be big revenue-makers for these companies. Rather, they are what we call the “Experience Economy” and are coming about as a result of two thematics we track at Tematica Research: The Connected Society and Content is King (two of the top performers in our recently release Thematic Index)

The Connected Society, with its always-on broadband networks and connected devices, have transformed many the industry, none more than retailing, led by Amazon (AMZN). Why would anyone go to the mall when you can log into Amazon Prime, find what you want in 2 minutes, have it shipped to you maybe the same day if not max 2 days, pay nothing in shipping and handling, and likely get it cheaper?

When do people go out and shop? When they are bored and want to be entertained, which is why you see the American Mall being transformed into entertainment centers. Movie theaters, restaurants, gaming centers — these are the “stores” dominating the malls these days, providing shopping experiences that are just that, experiences. We would place the Apple Store in that category.

What these retailers are doing to creating “content” — not in the traditional sense of a video, book or article — but creating shopping experiences that extend the brand, and lead consumers to make purchases online.

The NBA was actually a leader in this space, going all the way back to the mid 1990’s when it created the Jam Session experience at it’s All-Star game, the Jam-Van which brought the NBA experience to small towns across America (and even the West lawn of the White House) and the NBA Store on Fifth Avenue.

For a sports league, this strategy made sense. But, now it’s being played out by the likes of Hershey, the most basic of consumer products there is, and many other brands.

When we see multiple thematics converging together — like what’s happening in Times Square — we move to the edge of our seat and take notice.

 

 

 

 

 

Yahoo reveals the secret to Content is King: it better actually be good content

Yahoo reveals the secret to Content is King: it better actually be good content

 

The Content is King thematic — one of the better performers in our Thematic Index — focuses on how the in today’s over-stimulating world, it’s the content providers that are breaking through the noise and building lasting interactions and engagement with users. Yahoo! (YHOO) would be what we call a negative confirmation of the theme — the once upon a time giant of the internet is quickly fading off into the distance with the prospects of being acquired by the old-school telecom giant Verizon and being folded into AOL. It’s downfall? Well, with it’s search business long-ago surpassed by the Google train, the company has floundered for nearly a decade attempting to provide some sort of engagement with users — in other words, trying to find some content users will use and come back for.

But Yahoo has had to curb those ambitions. It last year wrote off $42 million in expenses for developing three video series, including a revival of the popular “Community” show. In January, Yahoo also shut online-video portal Screen after spending more than $100 million to make its own shows, excluding the cost of the employees involved.

Source: Verizon Nears $5 Billion Deal for Yahoo’s Internet Businesses – WSJ

Thematic driver behind Dollar Shave Club acquisition — not the one you would think #DollarShaveClub, $UL

5x revenue buyout? Is this the Internet Bubble again?

In this case, Unilever’s $1 billion (yes, that’s billion with a “B”!) buyout of the Dollar Shave Club has less to do with its e-commerce chops than what it was able to accomplish with its content — develop a loyal following of men purchasing what basically falls under the Health & Beauty sector.

At the end of the day, it has been Dollar Shave Club’s content creation that has attracted millions of views of its edgy advertisements, and in turn subscribers to its monthly razor blade shipping service. So while many would think we would categorize this story under our Fountain of Youth investing thematic, where we are filing it is under Content is King. Yes, in today’s over-stimulating, multi-platform media world, the businesses that are succeeding are those that are focused on creating quality content, and letting the end user access it when and where they want. That same principle is applying more and more to consumer brands and their products.

 

Unilever paid about five times the revenue that Dollar Shave Club is expected to bring in this year. Much of that premium stems from the value Unilever placed on the razor seller’s brand and customer-relationship skills, he says. E-commerce startups without such a strong brand should expect buyout offers closer to one to two times their annual revenue, he says.

Source: Why Unilever Really Bought Dollar Shave Club – Bloomberg

Introducing the new Thematic Index by Tematica Research

Introducing the new Thematic Index by Tematica Research


— PRESS RELEASE —

 

Tematica Research Unveils The Thematic Index – An Alternative to Outdated Sector Investment Strategies

Handily outpacing the S&P 500 in the first half of 2016, the Thematic Index offers a holistic view of influences that can drive or stifle portfolio growth

 

Washington, D.C., July 18, 2016 – Today, Tematica Research, LLC is publicly unveiling its Thematic Index, designed to reflect the firm’s proprietary thematic investment approach by tracking over 150 companies across more than a dozen of the company’s investment themes. The thematic investing approach developed by Tematica Research looks at the intersection of evolving economics, demographics, psychographics, and technologies combined with regulatory and legislative mandates to identify pronounced thematic tailwinds that impact business and consumers, forcing companies to adapt or get left behind. Taking a cue from Tematica’s proprietary investing themes ranging from the Connected Society and Aging of the Population to Content is King and Guilty Pleasure, the Thematic Index reflects those companies positioned to benefit most from thematic drivers while sidestepping those that are most likely to hit a thematic wall.

Through the first six months of 2016, Tematica Research’s Thematic Index rose 9.28 percent, versus the S&P 500’s gain of just 2.69 percent. Strong performance on an absolute and relative basis was driven by a number of Tematica’s proprietary investing themes including Affordable Luxury, Aging of the Population, Cash-strapped Consumer, Content is King, and Scarce Resources. This performance continued the Thematic Index’s market-beating streak vs. the S&P 500 on a pro-forma basis from 2011 to 2015.

“In our view, the S&P 500’s industry and sector perspective is outdated in how it looks at the markets, using a perspective that is not only limited in scope, but is incapable of identifying investable tailwinds and business stalling headwinds,” said Christopher Versace, Chief Investment Officer Tematica Research. “By taking a holistic approach that examines the shifting economic, demographic, psychographic and technological landscapes, our Thematic Index provides a catalyst first view that cuts across industries. This view is enhanced not just by sector-based data points, but by distilling and corroborating signals from a wide range of sources to determine which companies have a thematic tailwind at their back or are about to run headfirst into a headwind.”

Many indexes ignore the fact that companies are increasingly moving beyond their traditional sectors — not simply expanding into new ones, but actually shaping other existing and emerging sectors. For example, traditionally viewed technology companies like Apple Inc. (AAPL) are addressing and influencing many other markets, from media to consumer apps and even payment methods that put them well beyond their original target markets and keep them firmly entrenched in our Connected Society investing theme.

Other companies, such as Boeing (BA), are benefitting from thematic tailwinds. Both Boeing and Airbus (EADSY) have recently boosted their respective aerospace outlooks over the next two decades, largely due to the improving socioeconomics in emerging markets that are part of Tematica’s Rise & Fall of the Middle Class investing theme.

“Today our principal business model is our published research through the Tematica Investing newsletter and Tematica Pro trading service; however, we are exploring ways in which both institutional and individual investors can utilize our proprietary thematic index via model portfolios and exchange traded funds (ETFs),” said Versace.

The Thematic Index is composed of more than 150 companies across more than a dozen investing themes including: Affordable Luxury; Asset Lite Business Models; Cash Strapped Consumer; Cashless Consumption; Content is King; Disruptive Technologies; Economic Acceleration/Deceleration; Fattening of the Population; Food with Integrity; Fountain of Youth; Guilty Pleasure; Safety & Security; Scarce Resources; and Tooling & Retooling.

 

 

 

 

Egg On Pershing Square’s Herbalife Short — Forbes

Egg On Pershing Square’s Herbalife Short — Forbes

Forbes.com

After months and months of mud raking and bravado in the financial press and no shortage of fear inducing presentations from the likes of Square Hedge Fund Manager Bill Ackman, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has settled with supplement company Herbalife . Since late 2012, Bill Ackman focused his cross hairs on Herbalife with an enormous short position in the shares.

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